America Becoming a Nation of Renters

The multifamily market continues to post gains.

“Rents are rising, vacancies are falling, household formations are growing and rental supply is limited,” according to a recent report, “2012: The Year of the Landlord,” issued by Morgan Stanley. “We believe the demand for rental properties will continue to grow.”

Vacancies of rental properties dropped to 9.8 percent in the third quarter of this year compared to 10.3 percent earlier this year.

Led by strong gains in multifamily housing, groundbreaking for new-housing market soared 9.3 percent in November. Construction of multifamily homes of at least two units increased 25.3 percent in November, the Commerce Department reported last week. Starts for structures with five or more units has increased more than 30 percent from October and is nearly double year-over-year levels, Reuters reports.

Rental costs are also on their way up, increasing 2.4 percent over last year compared with an increase of 0.6 percent in 2010, Reuters reports.

Source:  Reuters  “America Becoming a Nation of Renters” Dec. 27, 2011

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Home Prices Down for 6th Straight Month

Home prices fell for the sixth straight month in October, down 1.2% compared with September and 3.4% a year ago, according to the latest S&P/Case-Shiller 20-city index.

The decline was disappointing in light of several other recent reports, which painted a more positive picture of the housing market.

The 20-city index has dropped every month since April. Since the housing bust began in mid-2006, homes have lost nearly 33% of their value.

Peter Morici, a professor of economics at the University of Maryland, said home prices remain weak because demand for existing homes is soft. Many potential buyers are migrating to rental markets or buying new homes that had been sitting unsold for months.

According to Morici, the current home price levels represent a correction from inflated prices reached during the bubble.

Source:  CNN Money “Home Prices Drop for 6th Straight Month” December 27, 2011

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New Home Sales Edge Up

The modest housing market winning streak continued as the Census Bureau reported Friday that sales of new homes rose again in November to an annualized rate of 315,000.

That was up 1.6% compared with the revised October rate of 310,000 and 9.8% higher than November 2010.

The good news followed other recent positive industry reports. November sales of existing homes rose12% year-over-year; homebuilding spiked nearly 21% compared with 12 months ago; and mortgage rates hit record lows this week.

The sales hike was in line with expectations: The forecast from Briefing.com was for a 315,000 annualized rate.

The median price for a new home was $214,100 in November. Inventory shrank to 158,000 units, a 6-month supply at the current sales rate.

Source:  CNN Money “New Home Sales Edge Up” December 23, 2010

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For Sale: 54184 Ironwood Road North – South Bend, IN

John Tiffany | INTEGRA Real Estate of Michiana | johntiffany.com | 574.875.4575

MLS #: 252198

54184 IRONWOOD RD N – SOUTH BEND, IN 46635

$44,900

City: SOUTH BEND Zip Code: 46635
Area: CLAY Township: CLAY
Style: 1 Story Bedrooms: 2
Full Baths: 1 Half Baths: 0
Dining Room: SqFt: 762
Basement Type: Full Block Garage: Detached, 1 Car
Appliances Included: No Appliances Included Heating: Gas, Forced Air
Cooling: See Remarks Water Heater: Gas
Water Softener: None Water Sewer: Municipal Water, Municipal Sewer
Exterior: Alum/Vinyl Trim
Lot Size Front: 60
Lot Depth: 161
Annual Taxes:: 1,896
Year Built: 1942
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AP: New Home Sales Perked in October

By The Associated Press

New-home sales increased 1.3 percent last month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 307,000, the Commerce Department said Monday. That’s less than half the 700,000 that economists say must be sold to sustain a healthy housing market.

Last year’s 323,000 new homes sold were the fewest since the government began keeping records in 1963. This year isn’t faring much better.

While new homes sales represent a fraction of the housing market, they have an outsize impact on the economy. Each home built creates an average of three jobs for a year and generates about $90,000 in tax revenue, according to the National Association of Home Builders.

Home prices have tumbled, the job market remains weak and unemployment has been stuck near 9 percent for more two years. Some people who want to buy can’t qualify for a loan or make the higher down payments that banks are demanding.

Sales are slumping even though mortgage rates are hovering above historic lows.

Builders are struggling to compete with foreclosures and short sales — when lenders accept less for a house than the mortgage on the home — which are at an average discount of 20 percent. That has made many re-sales a bargain compared with new homes.

Source:  Associated Press “New home sales perked in October” 11/28/2011

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WSJ: Stronger Lure for Prospective Buyers

John Tiffany | INTEGRA Real Estate of Michiana | 574.855.4575 | johntiffany.com

Home prices and mortgage rates have fallen so far that the monthly cost of owning a home is more affordable than at any point in the past 15 years and is less expensive than renting in a growing number of cities.

The Wall Street Journal’s third-quarter survey of housing-market conditions in 28 of the nation’s largest metropolitan areas found that home values declined in all but five markets compared with the second quarter, according to data from Zillow Inc. Meanwhile, rent levels have risen briskly across the country and mortgage rates, hovering around 4%, are the lowest in six decades.

As a result, monthly mortgage payments on the median priced home—including taxes and insurance—are lower than the average rent levels in 12 metro areas, according to data compiled for The Wall Street Journal by Marcus & Millichap, a real-estate brokerage that tracked 27 metro areas. It remains less expensive to rent than to buy in 15 cities. But affordability hasn’t done much to lift the sagging housing sector because many would-be buyers are unwilling to purchase a home or unable to qualify for a mortgage.

In Atlanta, which had the most favorable values for owning versus renting, the monthly payment on the average home was $539 assuming a 20% down payment during the third quarter. By contrast, the average asking rent stood at $840, according to the Marcus & Millichap data.

But real estate agents and economists say the trend hasn’t boosted demand. That is because affordability alone hasn’t been enough to overcome the obstacles in the way of a housing recovery. Some homeowners who would like to move up to larger properties are stuck because they can’t sell their homes.

Source:  Wall Street Journal ”Own vs. Rent: A Growing Reason to Buy” 11/26/2011

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Smaller Homes to Grow in Demand

The square feet of new homes is expected to continue its decline in future years. The National Association of Home Builders predicts that U.S. houses will average 2,152 square feet in 2015, which will be down 10 percent compared to last year.

Smaller homes near restaurants and retail may be the most in demand as the housing market crawls out of its slump, housing experts say.

McMansions–which are at least 2,600 square feet–were popular during the years of the housing boom, but now are only desired by 18 percent of households today and is expected to drop more, according to a survey by Trulia.

“Baby boomers are trading down. They don’t need the McMansion, and they don’t want to drive as much,” Jed Kolko, Trulia’s chief economist, told Money Magazine.

Source: “A Smaller House Will Make a Big Difference,” Money Magazine (11/14/11)

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Home Affordability Near Record High

Buoyed by stabilizing home prices and sustained low interest rates, nationwide housing affordability during the third quarter of 2011 hovered near its highest level in the more than 20 years it has been measured, according to National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Opportunity Index (HOI) data released today.

The HOI indicated that a near-record 72.9 percent of all new and existing homes sold in the third quarter of the year were affordable to families earning the national median income of $64,200. The affordability measure rose slightly from the 72.6 percent set last quarter and has remained above the 70 percent threshold for 11 consecutive quarters. The HOI rarely rose above 60 percent prior to this period.

“With interest rates at historically low levels and markets across the country beginning to improve, homeownership is within reach of more households than it has been for nearly two decades,” said Bob Nielsen, chairman of the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) and a home builder from Reno, Nev. “However, tough economic conditions — particularly in markets that experienced major changes in house prices and production — as well as extremely tight credit conditions confronting home buyers and builders continue to remain significant obstacles to many potential home sales.”

Lakeland-Winter Haven, Fla., was the most affordable major housing market in the country during the third quarter of the year. In Lakeland, 92.5 percent of all homes sold were affordable to households earning the area’s median family income of $53,800.

Other major metro housing markets ranking near the top of the index were Toledo, Ohio; Youngstown-Warren-Boardman, Ohio-Pa.; Indianapolis-Carmel, Ind.; and Ogden-Clearfield, Utah, respectively.

Among smaller housing markets, the most affordable was Fairbanks, Alaska, where 97.8 percent of homes sold during the third quarter of 2011 were affordable to families earning a median income of $91,700. Also ranking near the top were Kokomo, Ind.; Cumberland, Md.-W.Va.; Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, Iowa-Ill.; and Lima, Ohio.

Source:  ”As More Markets Stabilize, Housing Affordability Nears Record Levels for 10th Consecutive Quarter” 11/17/2011

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Freddie Expands REO Winter Sale to more States

Six more states — now bringing the total to 33 — will participate in a winter sales promotion as Freddie Mac’s HomeSteps looks to unload its high REO inventory.

The six states added are Alaska, Kansas, Kentucky, Missouri, Oregon, and Washington. To view a complete list of all states participating in the winter promo as well as eligibility requirements, visitwww.HomeSteps.com/smartbuy.

“We’re expanding our winter promotion to focus additional incentives to encourage strong sales activity in our ‘cold weather’ states over the next several months.” HomeSteps executive Chris Bowden said in a statement.

HomeSteps’ Winter Sales Promotion for buyers includes paying up to 3 percent of the final sales price toward a buyer’s closing costs for offers received between Nov. 15 and Jan. 31, 2012. Selling agents may also be eligible for a $1,000 selling bonus through the program.

Source: “Freddie Mac Adds Six More States to REO Winter Promo,” Housing Wire (11/22/2011)

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Foreclosure Activity Hit 7-month High in October

Some 77,733 properties received an initial default notice last month, up 10% from September, foreclosure listing firm RealtyTrac Inc. said Thursday.

The number of homes scheduled to be auctioned or repossessed by lenders also posted monthly increases.

All told, notices of default, scheduled auctions and bank repossessions — warnings that can eventually lead to a home being lost to foreclosure — hit a seven-month high in October.

The numbers are further evidence foreclosure activity is picking up.

The activity slowed a year ago after problems surfaced with the way many lenders were handling foreclosure documentation, namely shoddy mortgage paperwork comprising several shortcuts known collectively as robo-signing. Many of the nation’s largest banks reacted by temporarily ceasing all foreclosures, re-filing previously filed foreclosure cases and revisiting pending cases to prevent errors

Source:  USA Today “Foreclosure activity hit 7-month high in October” November 10, 2011

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